Hardest sports to master

We asked 12 models: Rank these sports from hardest to easiest to master at an elite level. Each ranked the same fixed set of options.

Agreement between models
77%
Same model, run twice
88%
Different picks
12

When agreement between models is well below a model's agreement with itself, the split reflects real differences in taste rather than randomness.

The consensus

Each cell is the position that model gave the pick; blank means it left the pick off. Click a row for each model's reasoning.

#PickScoreListed byClaude Opus 5.5GPT-6.1 SolGemini 4 ArgonQwen 3.8 MaxDeepSeek V4 ProGLM-5.3Grok 4.7Muse WonderKimi K3MiniMax M3Mistral Large 4Nemotron 3 Ultra

Most divisive

Picks most models listed, at very different positions

Hot takes

Picks that appear on only one ballot

Every model ranked the same options.

Every ballot

Hover a pick to find it on the other ballots. Marked picks appear on no other ballot.

Claude Opus 5.5

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Boxing
  3. Figure skating
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Baseball
  6. Tennis
  7. Golf
  8. Water polo
  9. Soccer
  10. Surfing
  11. Basketball
  12. Swimming

88% with consensus · 89% self-consistent

GPT-6.1 Sol

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Boxing
  3. Tennis
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Figure skating
  6. Soccer
  7. Golf
  8. Basketball
  9. Water polo
  10. Baseball
  11. Surfing
  12. Swimming

82% with consensus · 93% self-consistent

Gemini 4 Argon

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Boxing
  3. Ice hockey
  4. Water polo
  5. Tennis
  6. Figure skating
  7. Baseball
  8. Golf
  9. Surfing
  10. Basketball
  11. Soccer
  12. Swimming

83% with consensus · 92% self-consistent

Qwen 3.8 Max

  1. Figure skating
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Ice hockey
  4. Boxing
  5. Water polo
  6. Surfing
  7. Tennis
  8. Baseball
  9. Basketball
  10. Golf
  11. Swimming
  12. Soccer

76% with consensus · 74% self-consistent

DeepSeek V4 Pro

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Tennis
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Surfing
  7. Golf
  8. Water polo
  9. Soccer
  10. Swimming
  11. Basketball
  12. Baseball

93% with consensus · 90% self-consistent

GLM-5.3

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Water polo
  6. Surfing
  7. Golf
  8. Tennis
  9. Soccer
  10. Baseball
  11. Swimming
  12. Basketball

95% with consensus · 83% self-consistent

Grok 4.7

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Surfing
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Tennis
  7. Golf
  8. Water polo
  9. Soccer
  10. Baseball
  11. Basketball
  12. Swimming

93% with consensus · 93% self-consistent

Muse Wonder

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Tennis
  6. Water polo
  7. Baseball
  8. Soccer
  9. Surfing
  10. Basketball
  11. Golf
  12. Swimming

96% with consensus · 92% self-consistent

Kimi K3

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Golf
  4. Boxing
  5. Tennis
  6. Ice hockey
  7. Baseball
  8. Surfing
  9. Water polo
  10. Soccer
  11. Basketball
  12. Swimming

89% with consensus · 98% self-consistent

MiniMax M3

  1. Figure skating
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Boxing
  4. Tennis
  5. Water polo
  6. Golf
  7. Soccer
  8. Baseball
  9. Ice hockey
  10. Basketball
  11. Swimming
  12. Surfing

76% with consensus · 79% self-consistent

Mistral Large 4

  1. Gymnastics
  2. Figure skating
  3. Boxing
  4. Ice hockey
  5. Water polo
  6. Basketball
  7. Soccer
  8. Tennis
  9. Baseball
  10. Swimming
  11. Surfing
  12. Golf

90% with consensus · 93% self-consistent

Nemotron 3 Ultra

  1. Boxing
  2. Gymnastics
  3. Figure skating
  4. Water polo
  5. Ice hockey
  6. Surfing
  7. Tennis
  8. Golf
  9. Basketball
  10. Soccer
  11. Swimming
  12. Baseball

71% with consensus · 81% self-consistent

Who agrees with whom

Overlap between two models' lists, weighted toward the top · 100 means identical · Color runs from 58 (lightest) to 95 (darkest)

Claude Opus 5.5GPT-6.1 SolGemini 4 ArgonQwen 3.8 MaxDeepSeek V4 ProGLM-5.3Grok 4.7Muse WonderKimi K3MiniMax M3Mistral Large 4Nemotron 3 Ultra
Claude Opus 5.58786668485858781678274
GPT-6.1 Sol8785588177788073657867
Gemini 4 Argon8685677780768474637873
Qwen 3.8 Max6658677278727669837571
DeepSeek V4 Pro8481777292959087768572
GLM-5.38577807892939183749275
Grok 4.78578767295938986728571
Muse Wonder8780847690918987769269
Kimi K38173746987838687717963
MiniMax M36765638376747276717467
Mistral Large 48278787585928592797469
Nemotron 3 Ultra7467737172757169636769